Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#129
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#126
Pace74.6#53
Improvement-4.8#331

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#129
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-6.2#346

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#129
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.4#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 311   Grambling St. W 94-65 90%     1 - 0 +16.8 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 13, 2017 294   North Florida W 95-85 88%     2 - 0 -0.9 -5.4 -5.4
  Nov 17, 2017 3   Virginia L 67-76 8%     2 - 1 +8.7 +8.8 +8.8
  Nov 20, 2017 49   Marquette L 83-94 23%     2 - 2 -1.2 +4.9 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2017 233   California W 83-69 72%     3 - 2 +9.9 -2.1 -2.1
  Nov 22, 2017 10   Michigan L 60-68 10%     3 - 3 +8.2 +8.1 +8.1
  Nov 28, 2017 213   Appalachian St. W 85-72 78%     4 - 3 +6.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Dec 02, 2017 77   Old Dominion W 82-75 42%     5 - 3 +11.1 +2.1 +2.1
  Dec 05, 2017 37   Texas L 67-71 28%     5 - 4 +4.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Dec 09, 2017 25   @ Seton Hall L 67-90 11%     5 - 5 -7.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Dec 16, 2017 93   Bucknell W 85-79 49%     6 - 5 +8.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Dec 19, 2017 168   Winthrop W 69-55 68%     7 - 5 +11.1 -1.4 -1.4
  Dec 22, 2017 333   VMI W 75-65 94%     8 - 5 -5.1 -7.6 -7.6
  Dec 30, 2017 278   Fordham W 76-63 87%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +3.1 -4.9 -4.9
  Jan 03, 2018 110   @ Saint Joseph's L 81-87 OT 31%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +1.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 06, 2018 151   @ La Salle W 80-74 43%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +10.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 09, 2018 191   Duquesne W 78-67 75%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +6.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 12, 2018 158   @ Dayton L 79-106 44%     11 - 7 3 - 2 -23.4 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 17, 2018 164   Richmond L 52-67 68%     11 - 8 3 - 3 -17.7 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 20, 2018 176   George Washington W 87-63 72%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +20.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2018 134   @ Saint Louis W 75-74 OT 40%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +5.8 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 27, 2018 205   @ George Mason W 84-76 57%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +8.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 02, 2018 50   Rhode Island L 68-81 32%     14 - 9 6 - 4 -6.2 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 07, 2018 164   @ Richmond L 76-77 45%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +2.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 10, 2018 158   Dayton W 88-84 OT 67%     15 - 10 7 - 5 +1.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 14, 2018 53   Davidson L 63-74 33%     15 - 11 7 - 6 -4.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 17, 2018 176   @ George Washington L 56-80 50%     15 - 12 7 - 7 -21.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 21, 2018 195   @ Massachusetts W 82-78 55%     16 - 12 8 - 7 +4.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 24, 2018 67   St. Bonaventure L 63-68 39%     16 - 13 8 - 8 -0.1 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 28, 2018 205   George Mason L 80-81 77%     16 - 14 8 - 9 -6.7 -2.9 -2.9
  Mar 03, 2018 278   @ Fordham W 83-58 72%     17 - 14 9 - 9 +21.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Mar 08, 2018 158   Dayton W 77-72 56%     18 - 14 +5.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 09, 2018 50   Rhode Island L 67-76 23%     18 - 15 +0.8 +4.9 +4.9
Projected Record 18.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%